Showing posts with label critical thinking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label critical thinking. Show all posts

Monday, February 8, 2016

Happy Chinese New Year 2016 (#LunarNewYear)


2016
= 12 × 168


     Wishing all my readers a Happy Chinese New Year ... or more accurately a Lunar New Year – many other Asians (e.g. the Japanese and the Koreans) also celebrate this festival.  This year  2016  is mathematically special, because it is the product of  12  and  168.  12  is a lucky number for Western people (e.g. 12 signs of the zodiac and 12 days of Christmas)  and “8” is especially auspicious in Chinese because it sounds like /  [fa in Mandarin,] which means to prosper or to grow.  168 sounds like 一路发 [yaad lou faat in Cantonese] which is to prosper all the way through life.

     I think this year will be challenging, because the Fire Monkey could be monkeying around even more with the economy and world peace.  Nevertheless if all human beings can unite together and learn to think critically, creatively and logically (and mathematics is about all these), the planet Earth can be a better place.  So best wishes to one and all!



Thursday, February 4, 2016

[EM_20160204PBIE] “Hillarious” Mathematics of Politics?

Problem
Six coins are tossed to decide a result for either “C” or “S”.  Assuming that the coins are fair, and that the results of the tosses are independent, calculate the probability that all the tosses are in favour of “C”.

Introduction
     Hot in recent news is the story of the purported six coin tosses that were needed to determine certain county delegates in the race between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sandersin the state of Iowa.  All six coin tosses were in favour of Hillary Clinton, and the result is so improbable that some people said it was “hillarious”.
     How is the probability calculated?  This is an example of mathematics in real life events that has the potential to affect the United States of America, and the whole world (including Singapore).

Solution

Discussion
     In order to make the calculation, we make two assumptions: 
          (1) that the coins were fair, and
          (2) that the coin toss results are independent.
     So, what does it mean that the coins are “fair”?  It means that the probability of getting a “heads” is the same as the probability of getting a “tails”, which means ½ for each.
     Coin toss results can be “heads” or “tails”.  These are examples of events.  An event is something that can happen or not happen, and we associate a probability with it.  The probability is a number that indicates how likely the event happens.  It is between  0  and  1  inclusive.  Zero probability means a practically impossible event.  A probability of  1  means a practically certain event.  [The reason for me using the word “practically” is technical, which I shall not discuss.]  If the events do not affect one another (i.e. in our case, the coin tosses are not affected by the other coin tosses) then the events are said to be independent.  If the events are independent, then we can simply multiply the individual probabilites together, as above.  If the events are dependent, the calculation would be more complicated.

     So are the coin toss results valid?  I do not know.  All I can say is: improbable does not mean impossible.  Mathematics cannot tell whether the above assumptions (1) and (2) are correct.  But at least I “lay all the cards on the table”, so that astute students of probability know the basis of these calculations.  It is up to you to decide, but at least you would have made a mathematically-informed decision.  There could be other twists to the story, which is beyond the scope of this article.  This is one of the reasons why you need to learn mathematics carefully and think critically, whether or not you would become a mathematician,engineer, teacher or have a mathematics-intensive career.

H08. Make suppositions
H10. Simplify the problem
H11. Solve part of the problem

Suitable Levels
GCE ‘O’ Level “Elementary” Mathematics (Number patterns, with algebra)
* other syllabuses that involve probability
* anybody in the whole wide world!









Friday, December 11, 2015

[MathEd] Critique: Problematising Mathematics Education

In Response to Article
The Politics of Math Education


My Comments

1. It is good to problematise mathematics education.  Certainly politics is involved in the choice of mathematics curricula.

2. However, is it good to argue and debate so much that nothing gets done?  Are you chasing down false dichotomies?  Are you assuming that you cannot have it all?

3. In Singapore, we do not argue so much and students go on to perform well in "mathematics".  Unfortunely, I feel, they get a very narrow and distorted view of what mathematics really is.

4. What is the answer the dilemma?  I think it's a question of identity.  I think students should make well-informed negotiated decision about the kinds of people they want to be and how a wholistic mathematics education serves to develop them not just in terms of skills and content, but also in terms of values, habits / dispositions, problem solving ability and critical thinking, ... etc.  I would be interested to learn of and even work with curriculum planners heading in this direction.

Monday, April 13, 2015

[OlymPri20150412LGC] Your #logic a House of Cards?

Question


Introduction
     This is an olympiad type of question that tests one’s use of logic.  Sadly, logic is seldom taught in schools, except maybe in courses like knowledge inquiry, theory of knowledge, or in selected topics like geometry.  Mathematics is actually very much connected with logic, but it seems to be regarded as difficult to teach.  Being able to use logic and think critically is very important in our lives in various aspects.
     Let us study how we can analyse conditional statements using logic.

Analysing Conditional Statement with Logic
     A conditional statement is a statement of the form “If  H  then  C.”  An example would be: “If the blue litmus paper turns red, then the liquid is an acid”.  The front clause H (the part about the litmus paper turning red) is called the hypothesis (or premise).  The latter clause  C  (the part about the acid) is called the conclusion.  Every conditional statement has three other related forms: the contrapositive, the converse, and the inverse.

     For example, let say there is a NC16-rated movie and you can watch it only if you are at least 16 years old.  So  H := “watch NC16”  and  C := “16 years old and above”.  The conditional statement means “If you want to watch the movie, then you must be 16 years old and above”.  The contrapositive is “If you below 16 years old, then you cannot watch the movie”.  The contrapositive always has exactly the same meaning as the original conditional statement.  If one is true, so is the other.  If one is false, so is the other.  The contrapositive is merely phrased in a different way.
     The converse says “If you are 16 and above, then you will watch the movie.”  The inverse would say “If you don’t want to watch the movie, then you are not 16 and above.”  Note that the inverse is the contrapositive of the converse.  The inverse always has exactly the same meaning as the converse.  If one is true, so is the other.  If one is false, so is the other.
     The converse (and the inverse) has a different meaning from the original statement.  If the original statment is true, the converse may or may not be true.  In our example, “If you want to watch the movie, then you must be 16 years old and above” is true, but the converse “If you are 16 years old and above, then you want to watch the movie.”  may not be true, as some people who are 16 years old and above may want to do something else.  Like reading a book.  Or playing golf.  So you see, there are really two camps: the original conditional statement and its contrapositive in one camp, and the converse and the inverse in the other.
     Let us analyse the given problem using logic.


Analysis
     The statement  ‘any card with a letter A on one side always has the number “1” on the other side’ can be rephrased as ‘If letter A appears, then the other side is “1”’.  Let us analyse each position in order.  For (a), since the letter A appears, we definitely need to know what is behind the card to test whether the claim is true.  For (b), note that the claim does not say ‘If the letter is not A, then the other side is not “1”’ (inverse)  nor  ‘If the number is “1”, then the other side must be an A.’ (converse).  It is possible that A is on the other side and we are fine.  But it is also possible to have a non-A with the number  “1”.  The given condition does not prohibit that.  So, if the other side is not an A, it is still OK.  So the other side can be anything, and it does not matter.  For (c) we definitely have to flip to check the other side in case the other side is an A, then the claim would be proven false.  For (d), since the card is not an A, it is irrelevant.  The claim is talking about  A.  It is not talking about B.  We can summarise the analysis in the diagram below:-

Ans:  We need to flip (a)  and  (c)

Suitable Levels
Primary School Olympiad

* syllabuses that involve logic and epistemology